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Banks May Be Facing Buybacks on Bad Loans

Friday, October 22nd, 2010

After all the financial chaos of the last two years, the big banks may be facing yet another crisis. Bloomberg reports that “Pacific Investment Management Co., BlackRock Inc. and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York are seeking to force Bank of America Corp. to repurchase soured mortgages packaged into $47 billion of bonds by its Countrywide Financial Corp. unit”.  Bondholders cited “servicing failures” by Countrywide Financial as a major reason they’re pushing for the repurchases. Remember that Countrywide Financial was once one of the largest mortgage originators in the country and was rescued by and absorbed into Bank of America in early 2008.  Bondholders allege that Countrywide failed to execute foreclosures in a timely manner because of “missing documents, process mistakes and insufficient staffing to evaluate borrowers for loan modifications”.

The “missing documents” theme has also been front and center in the so-called foreclosuregate or robosigning mess, which Bank of America has also been instigated in.  The bank recently halted foreclosures in 23 states because of documentation irregularities that called into question the validity of many of its foreclosures. Bank of America has since said it would resume foreclosures, but foreclosuregate is probably going to be an issue for a while.

ZeroHedge reports that Wells Fargo, one of the biggest originators of risky pay-option ARMs at the height of the housing bubble, could be facing some significant repurchase trouble as well.  From ZeroHedge:

The only pages in Wells Fargo’s typically labyrinthine earnings release were 26 through 30, in which Warren Buffett’s bank, which continues to be in denial over Fraudclosure and still refuses to admit it also was a RoboSigner, discloses its putback/repurchase liability. The total disclosed repurchase reserve liability as of September 30 was $1.3 billion. This compares to Bank of America‘s total Rep and Warranty liability of $4.4 billion, which as we disclosed yesterday took a tiny provision of $872 million in Q3. This means that when, not if, Wells is also subject to a comparable action by litigants such as the one from yesterday which included Gross, Fink and Dudley on the offensive, the hit to the bank will be that much more dire. And since Wells management now has zero credibility, and negative fiduciary duty to its shareholders, we are currently combing through the MaidenLane portfolio to determine which New York Fed securitizations include loans originated by Wells Fargo. We are confident quite a few will make the cut. After all, as the bank itself notes, of its $1.8 Trillion Resi Mortgage Servicing Portfolio, “8% [or $144 Billion] are private securitizations where Wells Fargo originated the loan and therefore has some repurchase risk.

If Wells Fargo, Bank of America, and others are forced to repurchase large numbers of bad loans, its probably safe to conclude that bank financials and stock prices – and taxpayers – could be facing a big hit in the future.

-CH

Need to sell a house? We buy houses for cash, even if you owe more than it’s worth, with no commissions or fees! Give us a call at (714) 583-9004 or fill in the web form on our home page and we’ll get back to you within 24 hours!

The Dow/Gold Price Ratio Shows That Stocks Have Been Dismal for a Decade

Monday, August 30th, 2010

You are probably well aware that the last few years have been tumultuous, to say the least, for the financial markets. Though the stock market tanked hard through the end of 2008 and into 2009, it has since recovered much of what it lost. Gold has performed nicely over the last few years, though not without some volatility of its own. If you invested in stocks from the end of the tech boom to the peak of 2007 (and hopefully got out then), you probably saw some nice gains in your accounts. In terms of dollars, you are better off, right? You’ve got more of them than you did before, right? But in terms of purchasing power, the true measure of wealth, how did you really do? (more…)

Could a Stock Market Crash Be Imminent?

Wednesday, August 25th, 2010

There’s been some buzz around the net about the Hindenburg Omen, a technical indicator named for the ill-fated zeppelin that points to a possible stock market crash in the near future.  The fall season often seems to be rough on the market anyways (the crashes of 1929, 1987, and 2008 all occurred in the fall), and coupled with the fact that the economy appears to be dropping into a “double-dip”, could we see some fireworks on Wall Street in the coming months? Considering traders seems to follow the same indicators, could it just be a self-fulfilling prophecy? Or could the fact that so many people are hyping the HO serve as a contrarian indicator that the market might actually go up?

According to Tyler Durden at ZeroHedge, a Hindenburg Omen followed by numerous confirmations means a stock market decline of a significant percentage grows increasingly likely. As of Friday, we’ve had our third HO in about a week.  More confirmations over the coming weeks would imply a greater likelihood of a crash.

If you’re interested in the technical details of the Hindenburg Omen, click here to check out a great article over at Financial Sense.

-CH

Need to sell a house? We buy houses for cash, even if you owe more than it’s worth, with no commissions or fees! Give us a call at (714) 583-9004 or fill in the web form on our home page and we’ll get back to you within 24 hours!